We should be working with the US Marine Corps from the (Chinese leased) Port of Darwin on how to more effectively project military force into our region. Transportation & Movement. "It's protection of those interests that sees Australia deploy forces abroad. "We can't rule direct violence out," Prof Blaxland said. Dibb and Brabin-Smith know, and I can absolutely confirm, that Defence planners are deeply worried about the rapid deterioration in regional security. In response to Anonymous's interesting comments of July 1, 2020 that it is an unfavourable time for China to invade Taiwan, I say: Thanks Anonymous Taking your points in turn: i) true that China is unpopular with all those regional countries and with the US (but not with Russia). Next, we should decide to get really serious about how we can project our Army with amphibious capability. According to official figures, in September this year Australia had a total of 19 days of ‘consumption cover’ for aviation fuel in country. RED DAWN: THE CHINESE D-DAY: CIA PLOTTING SEPTEMBER 20, 2020, CHINESE ATTACK & INVASION OF AMERICA, AUSTRALIA, CANADA, JAPAN AND/OR NEW ZEALAND SPECIFICALLY TO TRIGGER WORLD WAR III (SEPTEMBER 19, 2020): CIA Headquarters Located Beneath CERN at Lake Geneva in Switzerland Chinese Attack and/or Invasion on September 20, 2020, Exactly … Defence needs permission to think unconventionally. This leaves the debate to gifted amateurs, with their certainties about the bargain pricing of American nuclear attack submarines or the supposed attractions of small diesel-powered European boats that, in reality, couldn’t make an underwater transit between Adelaide and Fremantle. Third, we need to get smart. China’s top think tank affiliated with the Ministry of State Security, ... December 5, 2020, 3:13 PM. Outback Survival. This is budgeted for in current Defence planning, but it’s worrying that the upgrade might be kept too limited so as to push more money to the new Shortfin Barracuda submarines. Huge warning as China takes on Australia - 'They're angry' Macron economy crisis: France admits Covid crisis will take 20 YEARS to pay off. Watch the gripping new drama series Your Honor now on Stan. In reality, China lacks the naval power to invade Taiwan and attempting to conquer this large island would prove bloody, devastate the Chinese economy, lead to domestic unrest, and may not succeed. Embed Share. June 1, 2018 AlltimeConspiracies Conspiracies 1. Subscribe 28 Share. Suggestions. And how far will they go? The need is for a rapid injection of realism into current planning with a focus on what we might ask the Defence Force to do in the short term if things rapidly get worse in our region. "There is a threat to Australian interests and connections around the world," he said. The past year has seen escalating tensions between China and Australia, including clashes between their navies and air forces. Get MagellanTV here: https://try.magellantv.com/binkovsbattlegrounds & get an exclusive offer extended to our viewers: an extra month FREE. In a major crisis, civil and military flying will rapidly come to a halt. October 10th, 2020. beyondtheicea CHINA Has 1000’s OF TROOPS In CANADA READY To INVADE USA via CHINA Has 1000’s OF TROOPS In CANADA READY To INVADE USA It has been a busy few months for People’s Liberation Army pilots stationed along China’s southeastern coastline. "Australia is a long way from anybody with serious military muscle," he said. Rumble — The past year has seen escalating tensions between China and Australia, including clashes between their navies and air forces. Will China Invade Australia? What would happen if Australia was invaded by a foreign country? "Where most Australians live is easily accessible to the military arm of a number of countries, particularly Russia and China," he said. Click the video below to watch it now. Meanwhile, a disputed November 2020 U.S. presidential election is mired in court challenges over who should occupy the White House. But Beijing isn’t the only focus. Will China Invade Australia? Unfortunately we won’t see these beauties until the late 2030s, by which time we’ll know if Xi Jinping’s ‘China dream’ has redesigned Asia. Let’s not be too despairing: after 20 years of constant operations the current Defence Force is the best it has been in decades. The rules based global order is hanging on the rather fragile assumption that the US will still foot the bill for global security. Auto news: Old Datsun sells for $1.1 million, breaks auction records in Japan - caradvice.com.au. If China complains, the world is warned that China is threatening military action. At the same time, it seems unlikely that China would risk a showdown with the US in the Taiwan Strait at this delicate moment. For Australia, a defence policy built around 30-year plans to replace our ships and submarines by drip feeding local industry does little to prepare us for the dangers we may face in, say, 2020. Why is China at loggerheads with Australia? "Australia's interests are in the maintenance of open and governed maritime space," Prof Blaxland said. America’s Diplomats Should Look Like America. They say so much has changed in global security since the February 2016 Defence White Paper that it’s time to scrap some long-held military assumptions. China has thrown a gun down on the ground and told Australia to pick it up. On April 15th, 2018, three Australian warships were travelling through international waters in the South China Sea, on their way to Vietnam Out of the blue, they were confronted by … A second priority should be to rapidly modernise the six Collins submarines because they will be our lead deterrent weapon for any maritime conflict for at least the next fifteen years. We need an Army as heavy as our budget will allow and with more fire power than anything we might expect to face in our region south of Hainan Island. ", Final moments before family killed in horror fire, John Lennon: Little-known facts about music legend, Grandmother receives UK's first COVID-19 vaccine, Volcanic eruption survivor's lesson in resilience, Two pilots forced to eject from F/A-18 Super Hornet at Amberley Airbase, TODAY IN HISTORY: John Lennon shot dead by obsessive fan, Beijing may have built bases in the South China Sea, but that doesn't mean it can defend them, report claims. Informative Links. China Plans To Invade The United States For “More Living Space” For Their Over 1.3 Billion People! Australia's Richest. It’s unclear how many Yun Fengs Taiwan has deployed or plans to deploy. Share Tweet. We shouldn’t rush to assume Beijing will be ‘inevitably hostile to Australia’, but a more assertive China with rapidly growing military strength means a direct threat to Australian interests could develop with little notice. China accuses Australia of disinformation and 'political manipulation' in foreign ministry rebuke. The Washington Free Beacon reports that China has a secret plan to be ready to invade Taiwan by 2020. Greg Sheridan is quite right, this isn’t the time to luxuriate in writing a new defence white paper. Does anyone see a flaw in this strategy? Dec 4, 2020 John B. Taylor. It’s fascinating that both Australia and China have separately come to the view that the best way to be secure from external attack is to project force into Southeast Asia. China Plans To Invade The United States For “More Living Space” For Their Over 1.3 Billion People! Two of Australia’s most respected strategic thinkers, Paul Dibb and Richard Brabin-Smith, set out a powerful case in The Australian last week to re-think Defence policy. What is the motive for China planning to invade the United States of America? He said despite widespread panic at the time, and post-war mythologising, even in World War II we were in no serious danger of occupation. “Beware America, With Only 300 ... Canada and Australia are the only places large enough to accommodate future Chinese needs. The submarine attacks on Sydney Harbour during WWII provide an example of what most security experts consider the worst case scenario in terms of direct military action. The government doesn’t have to start publicly discussing China threat scenarios but it should be urgently telling Defence to get the forces to a higher level of military readiness over the next two to three years. Australia is a fount of metal and other raw materials that has prospered greatly by … And in areas such as the Persian Gulf and South China Sea, Australia can be threatened even without being the target. almost impossible lets say a super power, like china wanted to invade the Aussies. "It's still very much a relatively unlikely scenario," he said. Will China Invade Australia? Roaring out of the sky, an F-16V fighter jet lands smoothly to rearm and refuel on an unremarkable freeway in rural Taiwan, surrounded by rice paddies. We need to prepare and pray for what is happening in November 2020. The former Labor Prime Minister of Australia Kevin Rudd has come out in a piece he wrote in Foreign Affairs - Beware the Guns of August—in Asia. The endlessly repeated talking point is that Beijing must cleave to the ‘international rule of law’, but as China’s building of air bases in the South China Sea shows, this hope is a dead parrot if ever there was one. 14 Will China Invade Australia? About the only point of major difference I have with Dibb and Brabin-Smith is over their approach to the Army. One wonders if the Government really knew what it was signing up to in the White Paper, because the South China Sea is the area where Beijing is asserting regional dominance. Professor Blaxland said it would be within the power of Russia or China to park a contingent of submarines or warships off the coast near one of Australia's population centres and practice "gunboat diplomacy" - demanding concessions with the threat of force behind it. General Prep Talk. The force planned for 20 years’ time will be much stronger again. Every conflict in the last twenty years shows that unprotected land forces will be wiped off the battlefield. In reality that means cruise missiles that could be carried on ships and aircraft. China knows that it cannot bully the United States so it is instead pressuring its allies. The aim is to raise the risk for would-be attackers at significant distances from our shores. China will be able to successfully invade Taiwan by 2020 as it gains military strength and develops technology to prevent allies such as the United States from coming to the island’s aid, the Taiwanese defense ministry said. The Observation Point. Officialdom seems too scared to make the case for, or against, nuclear propulsion. By then, China will have to send an ultimatum to Taiwan, demanding the Taiwanese to choose the resolution of peaceful unification (the most preferred epilogue for the Chinese) or war (an option forced to be so) by 2025. alltimeconspiracies Published June 6, 2018 10 Views. It would also fulfil China’s ambition to drive the 7th Fleet beyond the so-called first and second island chains, and give China the opportunity to project its … But there’s also bad news ahead. The tale of the "conquered West" is a long-standing trope in our stories, from the. 1 rumble. Will China Invade Taiwan? Pre-Modern Living and Survival. As far as Chinese military power is concerned, Dibb and Brabin-Smith say we are well within that ‘warning time’ period. Australia has nearly 50 commissioned vessels and 16,000 personnel. April 2, 2020. The world in 2025: China loses power, Russia ‘won’t exist’ THE world’s superpowers will be thrown into chaos and the war on IS will end. On top of that list should be a plan to increase fuel and complex ammunition stocks. A crisis on the Korean peninsula could stop that flow. Australians should do whatever we can to help keep Indonesia on the democratic path. General Discussions. China’s murky role in the genesis and spread of the novel coronavirus has disturbed the entire world. "It's because nobody can foresee one coming.". Canberra’s untested assumption is that the international market for fuel will supply our needs through any conflict. I strongly disagree. Please enable javascript to access the full functionality of this site, By He said coercion and blackmail of governments was in play in countries such as the Philippines, Vietnam, and other countries of the South China Sea, as Beijing continued to extend its power. Looking for a way out of China… American warships and aircraft routinely operate just off China’s coast. Oct.11 -- China's People’s Liberation Army repeatedly breached the median line in the Taiwan Strait last month, eliminating a buffer zone that has kept the peace for decades. China must work out a strategy to unify Taiwan within the next ten years, that is, by 2020. In Australia, politicians such as Sam Dastyari and Gladys Liu have also encountered controversy over alleged associations with groups connected to Chinese interests. China has sent thousands of troops to reinforce its presence ... India, Australia and Japan, constitutes an implicit (if still nascent) anti-China coalition of democracies. While the existence of the plan does not … For example the vast bulk of Australia’s jet fuel comes from North Asia. "But more realistically, Australia can be and is being pressured to make concessions through political blackmail.". By William L. Gensert. “Beware America, With Only 300 Million People!” ... Canada and Australia are the only places large enough to … CHINA will look to punish Taiwan after the US Health Secretary, Alex Azar, visited this week and will eventually 'invade' the state, an expert has warned. Prof Blaxland pointed to Russia and China as world powers who were likely to pose threats to Australia, either through direct coercion, or indirectly. China must work out a strategy to unify Taiwan within the next ten years, that is, by 2020. But that doesn't mean we can't be threatened by strongman rulers looking to flex their muscle. Australia’s China Problem Australia’s China Problem. Guest Lounge . China's People’s Liberation Army repeatedly breached the median line in the Taiwan Strait last month, eliminating a buffer zone that has kept the peace for decades. Here, I suggest some changes that government should urgently consider. But there’s also bad news ahead. The People’s Liberation Army has up… Links. The world in 2025: China loses power, Russia ‘won’t exist’ THE world’s superpowers will be thrown into chaos and the war on IS will end. Let’s hand some seed funding to young, lateral thinkers to develop low-cost drones, swarm technology, 3D-printed technology, offensive cyber strategies – in other words all the areas in which the Canberra establishment is too risk-averse to see the potential. As if 2020 needed to get uglier, the Chinese Communist Party is loudly threatening to invade Taiwan, its democratic and self-ruled neighbor. What should Defence do that’s not already anticipated in the 2016 White Paper? Alone, Australia’s military is little threat to China. We can’t rely on ‘just in time’ supply of this materiel. Since 5 May 2020, Chinese and Indian troops have engaged in aggressive melee, face-offs and skirmishes at locations along the Sino-Indian border, including near the disputed Pangong Lake in Ladakh and the Tibet Autonomous Region, and near the border between Sikkim and the Tibet Autonomous Region. That’s a serious problem, blowing out of the water a comfortable Defence planning hope long built into White Papers that we would have up to a decade in which to see if countries were preparing to attack Australia. Dibb and Brabin-Smith have joined the long list of strategic thinkers (me included) calling for a consideration of nuclear propulsion for the new submarines. China watchers believe that Chinese president Xi Jinping has set an undeclared deadline of this year for a final decision on whether to invade Taiwan, but opinions vary as to whether that is truly his intent. for arguments sake, no ICBM will be used 1. the beginning: china would first have to go through all its enemy's in the south china sea. "Our defence force is not structured to repel an invasion," security expert Professor John Blaxland of Australian National University's Strategic and Defence Studies Centre told nine.com.au. Dec 3, 2020 Gareth Evans. The Washington Free Beacon reports that China has a secret plan to be ready to invade Taiwan by 2020. The Case for a Quadripolar World The Case for a Quadripolar World. The past year has seen escalating tensions between China and Australia, including clashes between their navies and air forces. For the US, losing Taiwan to China, especially militarily, would almost certainly signal the end of American power in the Pacific. But hope isn’t a strategy: Defence’s job is to prepare for the worst scenarios. Essentially, our size and relative isolation make a military takeover an impractical option. The key problem is that most of Canberra wants to avoid a difficult conversation about China, presumably in the hope that Australia will keep getting rich if we just pretend that nothing has changed. For some strange reason Australians are never happier than when fantasising that our Defence planners are getting it all wrong, that our subs are ‘duds’ and the F-35 jet fighters are vulnerable to ancient Russian MiGs. Abbott accused China of bullying its neighbours and warned that Australia’s relations with it were unlikely to rise above a “cold peace”.. Did we really buy these behemoths just to deliver aid parcels? But with political tensions rising around the world and aggressive tensions between powers such as Russia, China and the US, the average Australian could be forgiven for thinking that such events are inching closer to reality. Nation-building in secret won’t persuade the public that all’s going well. First, start working on a new long-range strike weapon able to replace what was lost when the F-111 strike bomber was retired. The very quirks and scale of the terrain that make Australia difficult to occupy also render us vulnerable in a different way. Second, to support research and development for better strike capability, we should persuade Washington to collaborate on their new strike bomber development. Broadly, I agree with that view and in light of the dramatic escalation of the nuclear and missile threat from North Korea which came years faster than the best intelligence forecasts, it’s necessary to look again at whether our Defence policy settings are right. China nonetheless wields significant economic influence on our ally. Peter Jennings is the executive director of the Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI) a position he has held since May 2012. But, he hastened to add, this was still considered an extreme situation by the brains paid to strategise about such things. China is planning to invade the democratic island nation of Taiwan in 2020, according to a new book by an American analyst. ... December 04, 2020 China’s New Weapon in … The two strategists also point to Indonesia – not because of growing military power, but they worry a populist political Islamism could make Jakarta a much more difficult neighbour. Dec 4, 2020 Cheryl Misak. The core focus of the 2016 Defence White Paper was about how to defend Australia in what the policy calls ‘Maritime Southeast Asia’, but what the rest of the world calls the South China Sea. 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